Publications

Our research findings contribute to the public debate on current financial and economic issues. By publishing our work in international academic journals and in our Working Paper Series, we aim to make it accessible to the widest possible audience.

HFRC Working Paper Series

Our working papers summarize the latest findings from the institute’s research activities. They are intended as contributions to academic discussion and are designed to encourage critical reflection and commentary on the results.

All working papers

Publications by Jiri Tresl

Value Creation and Firm Life Cycle

Wolfgang Drobetz, Zhe Li, Tatjana Xenia Puhan, Jiri Tresl
HFRC Working Paper Series | Version 12/2025
Shareholder wealth creation in public equities is strikingly uneven, yet most evidence treats this as a cross-sectional rather than a dynamic phenomenon. This paper asks not which firms create wealth, but when along the corporate life cycle net shareholder wealth is generated. Using a cash-flow-based lifecycle classification and a shareholder-aggregate measure of lifetime excess wealth for U.S. listed firms from 1990 to 2024, we find that Mature firms create $41.6 trillion, or 71.4% of the $58.3 trillion in total excess shareholder wealth, while Growth and Shakeout contribute $9.8 trillion (16.8%) and $7.9 trillion (13.6%), respectively; in contrast, Introduction firms destroy $1.4 trillion (-2.4%) and Decline adds only $0.3 trillion (0.6%). The Mature stage is the only point in the life cycle where the median firm creates positive excess wealth ($10 million), while the median firm in every other stage destroys value. Because life-cycle position is closely tied to financial flexibility, we examine how financing frictions interact with these dynamics and find an extreme concentration of wealth creation: unconstrained Mature firms generate $33.6 trillion, or 57.2% of all excess shareholder wealth, despite representing less than 3% of firm-stage observations; within this group the median unconstrained Mature firm creates $801 million, whereas the most constrained Mature firms create zero. Adding unconstrained Growth and Shakeout firms raises the total contribution of financially flexible mid-life firms to roughly 83% of all excess wealth. Reframing the problem from cross-sectional sorting to intertemporal positioning therefore identifies unconstrained mid-life firms as the primary engine of the equity premium and provides clear guidance for long-horizon asset owners to tilt exposure toward these firms while managing risk at the life-cycle tails.